Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. No products in the cart. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. Local news is disappearing across the country. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. No place like 'Nam. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." 0:00:00 Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Preview of Spotify. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. send a tweet. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. [00:00:19] Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. What does it take to make democracy work? The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts What does the bench of Democratic leadership look like beyond Biden? Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. It's easy. It's a busy week! They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . So, the usual. Feb. 25, 2021. info. 450 episodes. Rev. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! . Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. 9 days ago. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. robert kraft granddaughter. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. david senak now. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. In the main event, former light Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. This is the final episode. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. MANAGER'S SALARY. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. A message from Martine. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. 3 min read. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. Join. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives.
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